EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 04:30 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %

Entry

177.227

Target

178.307 +0.61 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.707 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 95 % (37.60) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.15)

model score 94.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.8 % vs 11.6 % (forex, 348 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.38
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.28
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.15
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.93
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but it is against the larger bearish trend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 177.440; a breakout would confirm the bounce, while a break below 176.707 support would invalidate it.
Higher timeframes (2H to daily) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move—expect limited upside unless the daily trend flips.
The signal strength is very strong (96% probability), but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution and tight stops.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and retreats in DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE. This confluence suggests a short-term bounce is underway, with momentum shifting from selling to buying. However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 1-hour and 30-minute trends are only mildly bullish and choppy, while the 2-hour through daily trends remain firmly bearish. This creates a classic counter-trend setup against the dominant downtrend.

For traders, the immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 177.440. A break above this level would signal that the bounce has legs, potentially extending toward higher resistance zones. Conversely, the nearest support at 176.707 is the critical line in the sand; if price falls below it, the bullish signals would be invalidated, and the broader bearish trend would likely resume. Given the very strong signal strength and high probability, the bounce may be tradable, but only with tight risk management and clear invalidation levels.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, etc.) all fired bullish signals simultaneously, indicating strong short-term momentum.
▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bullish, suggesting the bounce is starting from the lowest timeframe and may build upward.
▲ The bounce is occurring near support, which could attract buyers looking for a mean reversion within the larger downtrend.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend on 2H and above is bearish, so the bounce could fade quickly if sellers step in at resistance.
▼ The nearest resistance at 177.440 is a major hurdle; failure to break it could lead to a reversal back down.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 176.707 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The 30-minute trend is only rated 1/5 strength, indicating the bullish momentum is weak and choppy, not a solid trend.