LUN/CUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEWWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Bear Flag, EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +12 more
Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(9 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flagbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.66 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.91 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart, including a Bear Flag and multiple indicator cross-downs, suggests strong downward pressure.
- The bearish alignment extends across 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, with the 2h showing the most solid trend.
- Key levels are tight: both nearest support and resistance are at 0.00005, so a clear break of this range will likely dictate the next move.
- The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which could cause short-term counter-trend bounces.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance and support, both at 0.00005. This tight range implies that a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The overall trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, though most higher timeframes are only moderately trending. The signal's strength is very strong, but the proximity of support and resistance means the move may be limited unless a clear breakout occurs.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across candlestick, chart pattern, and indicator groups.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, with the 2h showing a solid trend.
- ▼ Very strong probability score of 94% and very strong signal strength.
- ▼ EMA and SMA 50 Retreat Down indicate momentum is shifting lower.
- ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
- ▲ Support and resistance are both at 0.00005, meaning the price is in a tight range; a break above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Most higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are only choppy/sideways, suggesting the broader trend lacks strong momentum.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below support, the bearish signal may fade and lead to consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-08 |
| R2 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-06 |
| S1 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-08 |