ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-12 23:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.55 %

Entry

2,460.60

Target

2,406.11 +2.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,579.88 −4.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,475 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,475 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.03 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.06 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % ↓ −9.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 27 % (2.84) ▼ Bearish 73 % (7.57)

model score 72.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 23:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.22
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.72

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (T3, ALMA, moving average retreats) align on the 30m chart.
Bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with solid trends on 15m, 30m, and 1d.
Key levels: resistance at 2579.88, support at 2406.11—watch for breaks.
Oversold oscillators (STOCHF, ULTOSC) may cause short-term bounces, but trend remains down.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a confluence of bearish signals, including a T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, and MIDPOINT/MIDPRICE Retreat Down, alongside a bearish Spinning Top candlestick. While the STOCHF KD Cross Up and ULTOSC OS Exit indicate short-term oversold conditions and potential for a bounce, the overall momentum remains bearish. The retreat down signals from the moving averages reinforce the downtrend, suggesting that any upward correction may be limited.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid trends on the 15m, 30m, and 1d, and forming trends on the 1h through 12h. This alignment supports the bearish outlook. The nearest resistance is at 2579.88, which aligns with the retreat down levels, and the nearest support is at 2406.11. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes supports the bearish signal.
▼ Confluence of T3 and ALMA break downs strengthens the bearish case.
▼ Bearish Spinning Top adds candlestick confirmation.
▼ Solid trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1d indicate strong momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up and ULTOSC OS Exit suggest oversold conditions, which could lead to a bounce.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 2579.88, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Trend is only forming on higher timeframes (1h-12h), so momentum could fade.
▲ Watch for a bullish reversal candlestick pattern near support.