ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-14 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.23 %

Entry

0.03007

Target

0.02993 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03020 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,722 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,722 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.52 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −28.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (3.50) ▼ Bearish 91 % (35.27)

model score 18.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 02:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.71
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart, including BOP, STOCHF, and multiple moving-average retreats, points to strong downside momentum.
The bearish signal aligns with a solid downtrend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H), reinforcing the likelihood of continued decline.
Watch the nearest support at 0.02993; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance at 0.03020 would invalidate the setup.
Despite the very strong signal, the 30M and 15M trends are choppy, so expect potential volatility and avoid over-leveraging.

The 30-minute ETH/BTC chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a STOCHF KD Cross Down, with multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) and a trendline retreat on the higher timeframe. This confluence indicates a strong, coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure on the intraday horizon, aligning with the broader bearish picture seen across the 1H to 1D timeframes. While the 30M trend score itself is only mildly bearish (1/5) and choppy, the sheer number of signals and the alignment with higher-timeframe bearish trends (4H, 8H, 12H all at 3/5) suggest that the current pullback is likely to resume the dominant downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03020 and support at 0.02993. A break below the support would confirm the bearish continuation and likely open the path toward lower lows. Conversely, a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and could signal a false breakdown. Given the very strong signal strength (93% probability), the path of least resistance is to the downside, but traders should remain cautious of the choppy 30M and 15M conditions that could lead to whipsaws.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: BOP, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT all retreating.
▼ Higher-timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H) are solidly bearish, providing a strong tailwind for the intraday move.
▼ The 30M signal is very strong with a 93% probability, indicating high conviction in the bearish direction.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.03020 is nearby, offering a clear invalidation level if broken.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M and 15M trends are choppy and only mildly bearish, which could lead to false breakouts or sideways consolidation.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.03020 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 30M trend score is only 1/5, indicating weak momentum on the signal timeframe itself, which may limit the follow-through.
▲ If the price fails to break below support, the bearish setup could fade, and a bounce toward resistance might occur.