EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-14 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

1.11977

Target

1.11522 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12429 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, ZLMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (0.97) ▼ Bearish 95 % (17.73)

model score 16.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.59
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests immediate downside pressure.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the sell bias, but the 30M/1H are still bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch the 1.11522 support; a break below could accelerate selling, while a move above 1.12046 would negate the signal.
The signal's high probability (94%) is based on confluence, but the mixed trend alignment warrants caution.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including multiple moving average breakdowns (ALMA, HMA, ZLMA), a DEMA retreat down, and zero-cross downs on the HT SINE and ERI BEAR indicators, alongside a TSI signal cross down and a Fibonacci breakdown. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish impulse, with the 94% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting the alignment of these momentum and trend-following tools.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are still bullish (solid trend), the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 12H and 1D showing very strong bearish trends. This indicates that the current sell signal is likely a counter-trend move against the immediate bullish bias, but it aligns with the larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 1.12046 and support at 1.11522 are the key levels to watch; a break below support could confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average breakdowns (ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) confirm bearish momentum.
▼ Zero-cross downs on HT SINE and ERI BEAR indicate a shift in cyclical and momentum indicators.
▼ Fibonacci breakdown suggests a loss of a key retracement level, often triggering further downside.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (12H, 1D) provide a macro backdrop for the sell.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce and invalidate the signal.
▲ The nearest support at 1.11522 is close; if it holds, the sell could stall and reverse.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.12046, the bearish signal would be negated.
▲ The signal is on a lower timeframe; conflicting trend scores on 15M/30M/1H may indicate a lack of full alignment.