BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-13 23:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.59 %

Entry

83,174.33

Target

82,972.74 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

83,850.00 −0.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,722 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,722 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.52 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), MACD Signal Cross Down +20 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (4.47) ▼ Bearish 91 % (45.23)

model score 2.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 23:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.62
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.29
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.20
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.01
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30m chart with 21 indicators crossing down, indicating intense selling pressure.
Bearish trend across most timeframes (15m to 12h) supports the sell, but the 1h and daily are still bullish, suggesting a pullback.
Key support at 82972.74 and resistance at 83850.00 are the critical levels to watch.
Choppy, low-strength trends on many timeframes mean the move could be volatile and prone to reversals.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 21 indicators crossing below their respective midlines or signal lines. This includes the BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MACD, STOCH KD, and RSI, all crossing down simultaneously. Such a synchronized breakdown suggests strong selling pressure at the current level, aligning with the bearish trend observed on the 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes. The 4h timeframe is showing a forming trend, which may reinforce the bearish momentum. However, the 1h and 1d timeframes remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend, indicating that this is likely a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to watch are immediate support at 82972.74 and resistance at 83850.00. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might see a retest of resistance. The confluence of multiple indicators and the bearish alignment across most timeframes support the sell signal, but the conflicting bullish higher timeframes warrant caution. Traders should monitor these levels closely and be prepared for potential whipsaws given the choppy conditions on lower timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Synchronized bearish crosses across multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MACD, RSI, STOCH) provide strong confluence.
▼ Bearish trend alignment on the 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes supports the sell signal.
▼ The 4h timeframe showing a forming bearish trend may add momentum to the downside.
▼ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (91%) indicate robust bearish conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1h and 1d timeframes remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend; a reversal on the 30m could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes (strength 1/5) suggest low trend quality and potential for false signals.
▲ If price holds above support at 82972.74 and bounces, the bearish signal may fail, leading to a retest of resistance.
▲ A break above resistance at 83850.00 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.