USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-14 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

1.42144

Target

1.41899 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42875 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +23% Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.57) ▼ Bearish 95 % (30.68)

model score 95.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.64
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align with a short-term downtrend, but higher timeframes are still bullish.
Watch the 1.42036 support level; a break could accelerate selling, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats suggest price is below key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Conflicting higher timeframe trends mean this could be a pullback rather than a major reversal.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a trendline break down, a BOP zero cross down, a STOCHF KD cross down, and retreats from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. These indicators collectively point to a shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish, with selling pressure building as price fails to hold above key moving averages. The trendline break suggests a structural breakdown, while the BOP and stochastic signals confirm that buyers are losing control.

Across timeframes, the 30-minute signal aligns with a bearish bias on the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, where trends are rated as very strong and solid, respectively. However, the 4-hour trend is only forming, and higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. This suggests the current bearish move may be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.42214 and support at 1.42036; a break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (trendline break, BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreat) provide strong confluence.
▼ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are bearish and strong, supporting the 30-minute signal.
▼ Price is trading below the 200-period moving averages, which often act as dynamic resistance.
▼ The trendline break indicates a loss of structural support.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 4-hour trend is only forming (2/5), so the bearish momentum may not be fully established.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.42214 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The stochastic is oversold, which could trigger a short-term bounce.