AUD/CAD – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 00:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

0.98572

Target

0.99962 +1.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98283 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 4,325 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,325 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), WILLR OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Position

▲ Bullish 88 % (27.85) ▼ Bearish 12 % (3.71)

model score 88.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.63
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.92
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.80
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.26
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.98
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals are firing on the 12H chart, but they are counter to the higher timeframe downtrend.
Oversold conditions (WILLR, CTI, ZSCORE) suggest a bounce is likely, but the trend is not yet confirmed.
Watch nearest resistance at 0.99962; a break above could signal a stronger move, while a drop below 0.98283 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Lower timeframes are bullish, but higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend opportunity.

The AUD/CAD 12H signal has fired a cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators pointing to a bullish reversal attempt. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up and WILLR OS Exit confirm short-term oversold conditions turning higher. The CTI OS Entry adds a volume-weighted confirmation of the bullish shift. However, the KST Signal Cross Down and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down are bearish trend signals, suggesting the broader momentum may still be downward. The KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit highlight that price has moved far below its average, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, but the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish, with the 2H showing a very strong downtrend. This suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.99962 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.98283 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity with tight risk management, given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are aligning to show improving buying pressure.
▲ Extreme low ZSCORE and Keltner lower retreat indicate price is stretched below its average, often leading to mean reversion.
▲ Lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, providing short-term support for the bounce.
▲ Strong signal probability (88%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (2h, 4h, 8h) are bearish, with the 2H showing a very strong downtrend that could overpower the bounce.
▼ The KST Signal Cross Down and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down are bearish trend signals that conflict with the bullish reversal.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 0.98283, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The 12H and 1D trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction which could lead to false signals.