AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-16 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.12 %

Entry

0.98352

Target

0.99664 +1.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.97907 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, SMA 50 Break Up, ALMA Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 93 % (23.38) ▼ Bearish 7 % (1.65)

model score 93.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	3.20
▲	SMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.86
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.81
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.30
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.25
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.16
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.08
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bullish signals on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes are bearish—this is a counter-trend move.
Resistance at 0.99664 is the immediate upside target; a break could shift the balance, but failure may lead to a fade.
Support at 0.97907 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
Expect possible choppiness as the move contends with the dominant downtrend on higher timeframes.

The 30-minute AUD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, and MAMA PRICE Break Up, among others. This confluence indicates strong short-term buying pressure, with momentum shifting upward as multiple trend-following indicators align. The trend scores on the 15m and 30m timeframes are both bullish and forming, suggesting that the move is still in its early stages and may have room to develop. However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are all bearish with very strong or solid trend scores, which creates a significant conflict. This means the current bullish push is likely a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, and its sustainability is questionable.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99664 and support at 0.97907. The bullish signals suggest an attempt to rally toward resistance, but the higher timeframe bearish trends may cap the upside. If the price can break above 0.99664, it could challenge the bearish structure, but failure to do so would likely see the move fade. The support at 0.97907 is critical: a break below would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm the larger downtrend. Traders should treat this as a short-term long opportunity with tight risk management, aware that the higher timeframe trend is opposing.

Catalysts

▲ Dense confluence of bullish indicators on the 30M timeframe, including MACD, STOCH, and multiple moving average retreats.
▲ Trend alignment on 15m and 30m is bullish, supporting the start of a new upward move.
▲ The MAMA PRICE Break Up adds a price-action confirmation, suggesting momentum is building.
▲ The nearest resistance is relatively close, offering a clear target to test the bearish trend.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish push.
▼ The bullish trend is only 'forming' (2/5) on the lower timeframes, indicating it may lack strength.
▼ If the price fails to break above 0.99664, the move could stall and reverse, leading to a retest of support.
▼ A break below 0.97907 would invalidate the bullish signals and confirm the larger downtrend.