EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-16 07:00 UTC 47 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

1.12311

Target

1.11883 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12825 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCHF KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +7.4 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (4.25)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 456 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.38
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.29
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.80
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.14
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exits on the 30m chart align with a short-term bearish correction.
Higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are strongly bearish, supporting the sell direction.
Lower timeframes are choppy and bullish, so the signal may lack immediate follow-through.
Watch the 1.12411 resistance and 1.11883 support as key invalidation and target levels.

The EUR/USD 30-minute signal stack is firing a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, and RSX/STC OB entries. This suggests that multiple momentum and volatility oscillators are simultaneously exiting overbought conditions, which typically points to a short-term downward correction. However, the signal's overall probability is only 61% with weak strength, and the lower timeframes (15m through 4h) are all showing bullish but choppy/sideways trends with a low trend score of 1/5. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is bearish, but the broader intraday structure lacks clear directional conviction.

Looking at the higher timeframes, the 8h, 12h, and 1d trends are bearish and strong (scores 3/5 and 4/5), indicating that the longer-term bias is aligned with the sell signal. The confluence of overbought exits across multiple indicators on the 30m chart, combined with the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, suggests that the sell signal could be the start of a pullback within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12411, which if broken would invalidate the bearish case, and the nearest support at 1.11883, which if reached could provide a bounce point. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels and the 30m trend score for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes with scores of 3/5 and 4/5.
▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exits (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR, ER, RSX, STC) on the 30m chart.
▼ The bearish signal aligns with the longer-term trend, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move.

Risk Factors

▲ Weak signal strength (61%) and choppy/sideways lower timeframes may lead to a false start.
▲ The 30m trend is currently bullish (1/5), which conflicts with the sell signal and could cause a bounce.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12411, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the low trend scores on lower timeframes, so confirmation is needed.