NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 07:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

0.56544

Target

0.56765 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55910 −1.12 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, HMA Break Up, ZLMA Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +59% Intraday

▲ Bullish 95 % (68.66) ▼ Bearish 5 % (3.51)

model score 95.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.92
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.72
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.52
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	1.99
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.97
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.25
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.18
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H chart shows a very strong bullish setup with multiple indicators aligning, but the higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so this could be a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest support at 0.55910: a break below it would invalidate the bullish signal and likely lead to further downside.
The Stochastics KD Cross Down indicates a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains up on the lower timeframes.
Expect choppy price action on the 2H and 4H timeframes, but the 15m and 30m are strongly bullish, supporting the immediate move.

The 1H NZD/USD signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of an Ascending Triangle breakout, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA), and a Golden Cross between the 50 and 200 EMA all point to sustained upward momentum. The Stochastics KD Cross Down suggests a brief pullback within the uptrend, but the overall structure remains constructive. The bullish alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes supports the immediate trend, while the higher timeframes (2H, 4H) are choppy but still bullish, indicating that the move is still in its early stages.

However, the 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind. This suggests the current bullish move may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest support at 0.55910 is a critical level to watch: a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup and likely signal a resumption of the broader bearish trend. Traders should focus on the strength of the breakout and the ability of the price to hold above support, while being mindful of the potential for resistance to appear as the move extends into higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all point upward, confirming strong momentum.
▲ The Golden Cross between the 50 and 200 EMA is a classic bullish indicator, adding to the confluence.
▲ The Ascending Triangle pattern suggests a breakout is in progress, with higher lows supporting the move.
▲ The bullish trend across the 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes shows alignment, even if the higher timeframes are mixed.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, which could overpower the lower-timeframe bullish move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55910 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a sharper decline.
▼ The Stochastics KD Cross Down may signal a deeper pullback than expected, especially if the higher timeframes exert pressure.
▼ The choppy/sideways action on the 2H and 4H timeframes suggests the bullish trend is still forming and could stall.