LUN/CUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +9 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(16 Oct 2026, 05:32 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | KDJ OB Exit | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | Evening Star | candlestick | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.87 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.86 |
| ▲ | RSX Midline Cross Up | indicator | 0.83 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple overbought indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, WILLR) all flipped lower simultaneously, signaling a strong short-term bearish impulse.
- Bollinger Bands and TEMA retreats confirm price is pulling back from dynamic resistance, adding to the bearish case.
- Higher timeframes (2h-12h) are solidly bearish, supporting the direction of the 30-minute signal.
- The 0.00005 level is both the nearest resistance and support, making it a critical pivot to watch.
However, the trend picture is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still labeled bullish, though choppy, which creates a conflict with the immediate signal. The higher timeframes (2h through 12h) are all bearish with solid trend scores, suggesting that the larger context supports downside, but the 1h and 1d are only trend forming. The nearest resistance and support are both listed at 0.00005, which is unusual and implies a very tight range; this level is likely a pivot that could act as both a ceiling and floor. Traders should watch this level closely, as a break below could accelerate the move, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
- ▼ Confluence of 12+ indicators all firing bearish at the same time, increasing signal reliability.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend alignment (2h-12h all bearish with solid scores) supports the downside move.
- ▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band and TEMA suggests rejection at dynamic resistance.
- ▼ CCI and WILLR exiting overbought zones often precedes a corrective move.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the bearish signal is early or a false start.
- ▲ The 1h and 1d timeframes are only trend forming, so the broader trend is not fully established.
- ▲ The 0.00005 level is both support and resistance; if it holds as support, the bearish move could stall.
- ▲ The signal strength is only moderate (71% probability), so there is a meaningful chance of failure.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-15 |
| R2 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-14 |
| R3 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-13 |
| S1 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-15 |
| S2 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-15 |