SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.62 %
Entry
105.90
Target
106.51 +0.58 %
closes in profit
Stop
100.91 −4.71 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,175 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,175 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up, SMA Break Up +18 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
46.5 % ↓ −16.4 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +51% Scalping
▲ Bullish 83 % (48.52) ▼ Bearish 17 % (9.88)
model score 29.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.8 % vs 32.6 % on average · stopped out 31.1 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,597 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 30%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 05:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 3.04
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.91
▲ SMA Break Up indicator 2.84
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.69
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.65
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.60
▲ MA Break Up indicator 2.57
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.39
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 1.91
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.85
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.74
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.54
▲ MCGD Retreat Up indicator 1.54
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 1.20
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.13

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong 30m bullish signal (94% probability) with multiple confirmations, but it's a counter-trend move against a bearish higher timeframe.
  • Immediate upside is capped by resistance at 106.51000; a break above could shift the bias, but rejection is possible.
  • Support at 100.91000 is the critical invalidation level—losing it would negate the bullish setup.
  • Expect choppy price action; the rally may be sharp but not sustainable if higher timeframes remain bearish.
The 30-minute SOL/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, DI/DM CROSS Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, and a HT TRENDLINE Break Up, alongside more than fifteen additional confirmations. This confluence indicates a strong, very high-probability (94%) short-term bullish impulse, likely driven by a breakout or trend shift on the lower timeframe. However, the broader context is mixed: the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish but choppy, while the 1h through 1d timeframes remain bearish, with solid trends on the 4h and higher. This creates a classic lower-timeframe counter-trend rally against a higher-timeframe downtrend, meaning the bullish signal is best interpreted as a tactical opportunity within a larger bearish structure.

Traders should watch key levels closely: the nearest resistance at 106.51000 is the immediate upside target and a potential rejection point, while support at 100.91000 is the invalidation zone. A break above resistance could signal a more sustained reversal, but failure to hold above support would negate the bullish setup. The choppiness on the lower timeframes suggests the rally may be volatile, and the higher-timeframe bearish bias could cap upside. The signal is strong, but its durability depends on whether higher timeframes begin to align or at least flatten.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of over 15 bullish signals across indicator and candlestick groups, including AROON Cross Up and HT TRENDLINE Break Up.
  • ▲ Very strong trend score (94%) on the 30m timeframe, indicating high conviction in the short-term move.
  • ▲ Lower timeframe bullish alignment (15m and 30m) supports the immediate momentum.
  • ▲ EMA Retreat Up and DI/DM CROSS Cross Up suggest momentum is accelerating in the short term.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are bearish with solid trends, which could overpower the lower-timeframe rally.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend quality and potential for whipsaw.
  • ▼ Resistance at 106.51000 is a nearby ceiling; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 100.91000, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 30%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-16 05:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 106.51000 2026-10-15
R2 108.67000 2026-10-14
R3 109.07000 2026-10-13
S1 100.91000 2026-10-15
S2 100.62000 2026-10-15

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