AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

109.982

Target

112.613 +2.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.707 −1.16 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 4,325 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,325 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Position

▲ Bullish 81 % (10.78) ▼ Bearish 19 % (2.50)

model score 81.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 12H with 8 indicators confirming, suggesting a potential reversal from oversold conditions.
Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish, but higher timeframes (2h-1d) remain bearish, indicating a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 112.613; a break above could signal a larger reversal, while failure may lead to a pullback.
The nearest support at 108.707 is the key invalidation level for the bullish case.

The 12H AUD/JPY signal is a strong bullish confluence, with eight separate indicators firing in the same direction. The cluster includes a Bullish Engulfing candlestick and a Closing Marubozu, both classic reversal patterns, alongside momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, Fisher) and volatility indicators (Bollinger Bands, HT Phasor) all aligning to suggest upward pressure. This broad-based signal indicates that selling momentum has exhausted and buyers are stepping in, with the price likely to target the nearest resistance at 112.613.

However, the trend picture across timeframes is mixed. While the lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish, the higher timeframes (2h to 1d) remain bearish, suggesting that this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The signal's strength and the number of confirmations give it a high probability (81%), but traders should be cautious about the conflicting higher timeframe trend. The key is whether the price can break above the 112.613 resistance; if it fails, the bounce could fade and the bearish trend resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicator confluence (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, HT PHASOR, FISHER) all signaling bullish momentum.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing, Closing Marubozu) confirming buyer control.
▲ Strong probability score of 81% and strong signal strength.
▲ Lower timeframe trends are bullish, providing short-term momentum support.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (2h and above) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 112.613 is a significant barrier; failure to break could lead to a retracement.
▼ The signal is a counter-trend bounce; if the broader downtrend resumes, the bullish setup could fail.
▼ Momentum may be fading if the price fails to follow through quickly, as the signal is time-sensitive.