EUR/AUD – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 00:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.11 %

Entry

1.61550

Target

1.60855 +0.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63352 −1.12 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 4,325 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,325 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, SMA 200 Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 17 % (3.61) ▼ Bearish 83 % (17.79)

model score 83.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.98
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.95
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.42
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.41

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 12H chart suggests a short-term pullback is underway.
The broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, so this is likely a correction, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.63352 resistance and 1.60855 support as key levels for the move.
Momentum is fading on the 12H, but the bullish higher-timeframe trend may limit downside.

The EUR/AUD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. The HT TRENDMODE shifting to Cycle suggests the prevailing uptrend is losing momentum and may be transitioning into a corrective phase. These signals collectively point to a short-term bearish pullback within a larger bullish structure, as the 12H and higher timeframes remain bullish.

On the lower timeframes, the 15m shows a solid bearish trend, while the 30m and 1h are forming bearish trends, indicating that selling pressure is building from the short-term perspective. However, the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all bullish, and the 1D is choppy/sideways. This mixed alignment suggests the bearish signal is likely a corrective move rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.63352, which capped the recent advance, and the nearest support at 1.60855, which could act as a target if the pullback extends.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly on the 12H, including BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and moving average retreats.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are showing bearish trends, confirming short-term selling pressure.
▼ The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle indicates a loss of trend strength, supporting a corrective move.
▼ The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band and the 200-period moving averages adds confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) remain bullish, which could limit the downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ The 1D is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear directional momentum.
▲ A break back above the 1.63352 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum on the 12H is weakening, but the trend strength is still rated 'strong' on the signal, which could mean the pullback is shallow.