EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-16 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

1.61799

Target

1.59691 +1.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62660 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Rising Wedge, SMA 50 Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 11 % (4.27) ▼ Bearish 89 % (35.71)

model score 89.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.90
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.62
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.48
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.40
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests a high-probability sell opportunity, but higher timeframes are bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
Watch the nearest support at 1.61774—a break below confirms downside, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
The Rising Wedge pattern and multiple indicator retreats align on lower timeframes, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Invalidation is above the 1.62660 resistance; a close above would negate the bearish thesis.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Rising Wedge pattern and confirmed by multiple momentum and trend-following indicators: MACD Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry, alongside DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA Retreat Downs. The confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups points to a high-probability (90%) short-term sell setup with very strong strength. The immediate trend is bearish on the 15m and 30m timeframes, with the 30m trend forming (2/5) but supported by a solid 15m trend (3/5), suggesting the move is building from lower timeframes upward. The nearest resistance sits at 1.62660, while support lies at 1.61774; a break below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a push above resistance would invalidate the setup.

However, the higher timeframes (1h through 12h) remain bullish, with solid trends on the 2h, 4h, and 8h, which creates a conflicting backdrop. This suggests the bearish move may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Traders should watch the 1.61774 support closely—a decisive break could open the door for further downside, but a failure to break it may lead to a bounce. The 1d timeframe is choppy and sideways, offering little directional clarity. Given the strength of the signal cluster, the short-term bias is clearly bearish, but the higher-timeframe bullish trends warrant caution and a clear invalidation level at 1.62660.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, chart_pattern) align on the 30M and 15M timeframes, boosting signal reliability.
▼ The Rising Wedge pattern is a classic bearish reversal signal, and its presence alongside MACD and STOCH cross-downs strengthens the case.
▼ The 15M trend is solid bearish (3/5), providing immediate momentum support for the move.
▼ The high probability (90%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional confluence across signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H-12H) are bullish, which could mean this is just a corrective pullback; a bounce from support is possible.
▲ The 30M trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full momentum and could stall.
▲ If price breaks above the 1.62660 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated, and the bullish higher timeframe may resume.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, offering no clear directional bias, which adds uncertainty.