EUR/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
59 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.92696
Target
0.92265 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.93348 −0.70 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 386 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 386 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.42 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 17 % (4.35) ▼ Bearish 83 % (21.33)
model score 83.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.78
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.90
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.56
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.55
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.49
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.49
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.37
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.27
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.27
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.25
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.18
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.97
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
  • All timeframes align bearish, with 12H showing very strong trend.
  • Key resistance at 0.93348; support at 0.92600 is the downside target.
  • Watch for a break below support; a close above resistance invalidates the signal.
The EUR/CHF 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) along with a trendline retreat. This confluence reflects strong selling pressure and momentum alignment. The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d, with the 12H showing a very strong trend (4/5), reinforcing the signal's high probability (83%) and strong strength. The price is currently below the nearest resistance at 0.93348, targeting the nearest support at 0.92600, which is the key downside objective.

Traders should watch for a continuation toward the support zone, with a break below potentially opening further downside. However, the lower timeframe trends (15m and 30m) are only forming (2/5), indicating possible short-term consolidation. The signal's robustness comes from the alignment across multiple timeframes and the sheer number of bearish triggers. Key invalidation level is above the resistance at 0.93348; a close above that would negate the bearish setup. The presence of WILLR OS Entry suggests the market may be oversold, which could lead to a bounce, but the overall trend strength supports the bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, moving averages) all bearish.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with 12H at 4/5 strength.
  • ▼ Price trading below resistance, with support nearby providing a clear target.
  • ▼ High signal probability (83%) and strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could trigger a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) only show forming trends, suggesting possible consolidation before continuation.
  • ▲ A close above 0.93348 (nearest resistance) would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ If support at 0.92600 holds, a rebound could occur, stalling the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-16 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.93348 2026-10-14
R2 0.93685 2026-10-07
R3 0.94862 2026-09-30
S1 0.92600 2026-10-02

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