SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.35 %
Entry
104.41
Target
107.44 +2.90 %
closes in profit
Stop
100.91 −3.35 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, KDJ OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −13.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Scalping
▲ Bullish 85 % (16.08) ▼ Bearish 15 % (2.88)
model score 7.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 46.1 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 2,466 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 8%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 16:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.87
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.95
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.92
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.79
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.55
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.46
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.46
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart are firing, but they are counter to the broader bearish trend across all timeframes.
  • The bounce could target the nearest resistance at 107.44, but a break above that is needed to signal a potential trend change.
  • Support at 100.91 is the critical level to watch; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • The high signal count and strong probability point to a short-term bounce, not necessarily a lasting reversal.
The 30-minute SOL/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with supporting momentum signals (STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit) all aligning to suggest a short-term bounce. However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish: every timeframe from 15 minutes up to the daily is bearish, with the 8-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 4-hour a solid trend (3/5). This creates a classic counter-trend setup where the 30-minute signals are likely to be a corrective move within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 107.44 and support at 100.91. A sustained move above resistance would challenge the bearish structure, while a failure to hold support could see the bounce fade quickly. The strong probability (84%) and high signal count suggest the bounce has momentum, but traders should be cautious about expecting a full reversal given the overwhelming bearish alignment across higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A cluster of overbought/oversold oscillators (STOCHF, WILLR, KDJ) exiting oversold conditions supports a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up indicate a shift in buying pressure on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▲ The strong signal probability (84%) and high signal count increase the likelihood of the immediate move playing out.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 8-hour trend, argues against a sustained rally.
  • ▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 107.44 could see the bounce fade and the downtrend resume.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 100.91, the bullish setup is invalidated and a further decline is likely.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is weak (1/5) and choppy, which can lead to false signals and whipsaws.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-16 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 107.44000 2026-10-16
R2 108.67000 2026-10-14
R3 109.07000 2026-10-13
S1 100.91000 2026-10-15
S2 100.62000 2026-10-15

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