USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 07:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

1.41782

Target

1.42223 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41149 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +21% Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (15.69) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.56)

model score 6.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 456 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.53
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.68
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish indicators on the 30M chart points to a strong short-term reversal attempt.
Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop, but lower timeframes are still bearish.
Key levels: resistance at 1.42223 and support at 1.41695; watch for a break above resistance to confirm upside.
The signal is very strong (91% probability), but confirmation from price action is essential.

The 30M USD/CAD signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Falling Wedge breakout, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, KDJ OS Exit, and lower band retreats on ACCBANDS and KELTNER. This confluence suggests a strong short-term reversal attempt off the lows, with the wedge pattern implying a potential upside resolution. The signal's very strong strength and 91% probability underscore the conviction behind this move, though it must be weighed against the broader trend context.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15M to 4H timeframes are bearish and trend forming, while the 8H, 12H, and 1D are bullish and solid to very strong. This divergence indicates the bullish signal is firing against a shorter-term bearish trend, but the higher timeframes support a larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 1.42223 and support at 1.41695 define the immediate battle zone; a break above resistance would confirm the reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate it. Traders should watch for sustained buying pressure to flip the shorter-term trends.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator exits (WILLR, KDJ) and cross-ups (BOP, STOCH) align to signal oversold bounce conditions.
▲ The Falling Wedge pattern is a classic bullish reversal formation, suggesting a potential trend change.
▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (8H-1D) provide a supportive macro context for the short-term bullish signal.
▲ The retreat of lower bands on ACCBANDS and KELTNER indicates a shift in volatility and momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15M-4H) are bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal if they persist.
▼ A failure to hold above the nearest support at 1.41695 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The 30M and 1H trends are only 2/5 and 1/5 strength, showing weak trend formation that could fade.
▼ Resistance at 1.42223 is nearby; a rejection there could lead to a false breakout or range-bound trading.