USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

0.82800

Target

0.83467 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82273 −0.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 372 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 372 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.41 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing

▲ Bullish 91 % (14.58) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.37)

model score 91.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.67
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.35
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.73

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish confluence fired on the 4H chart, pointing to a bounce from oversold conditions.
The signal is counter-trend relative to the bearish intermediate timeframes (30m-12h).
Watch resistance at 0.83467 and support at 0.82273 as key levels.
The daily chart is bullish, offering some longer-term support for the bounce.

The 4H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP zero cross up, STOCH KD cross up, BBANDS lower retreat up, HT PHASOR inphase cross down, KDJ oversold exit, HMA retreat up, ACCBANDS lower retreat, and a ZSCORE extreme low exit. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and mean-reversion indicators suggests that downside pressure is exhausting and that a bounce from oversold conditions is underway. The signal is classified as very strong with a 91% probability, and it is supported by a candlestick component, adding a price-action confirmation.

However, the trend structure across timeframes is mixed. While the 15-minute and daily charts are bullish, the intermediate timeframes (30m through 12h) remain bearish, with trend scores of 1-2 out of 5, indicating choppy or forming trends. This suggests that the bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish phase. The nearest resistance at 0.83467 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.82273 is the key level to watch; a break below that would invalidate the bullish thesis. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, given the conflicting higher-timeframe bias.

Catalysts

▲ A dense cluster of momentum and volatility signals all pointing in the same direction (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, HMA, ACCBANDS).
▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests price was statistically stretched to the downside, increasing the odds of a mean-reversion bounce.
▲ The daily timeframe is bullish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind for the recovery.
▲ The candlestick component adds a price-action confirmation to the indicator-based signals.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across 30m to 12h timeframes could cap the bounce and lead to a continuation lower.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.82273, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.83467 may act as a strong ceiling, especially if the broader bearish trend resumes.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes could result in a weak or short-lived rally.