BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-20 07:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.18 %

Entry

81,631.46

Target

81,200.00 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

82,270.43 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 10,147 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,147 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross, KAMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↓ −4.2 vs previous candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (6.16) ▼ Bearish 80 % (25.27)

model score 80.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 07:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.03
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.03
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.96
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish convergence across multiple momentum and trend indicators on the 30-minute timeframe.
All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, with the 4h showing a solid trend, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 81200.00; a break below could extend the downside, while resistance at 82270.43 is the key invalidation level.
The 1-day bullish trend is a potential counterweight, but it is still forming and may not override the immediate bearish momentum.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal is firmly bearish, with a 97% probability and very strong strength. A cascade of momentum and trend-following indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, and EMA Retreat Down, among others—converge to confirm a broad-based sell-off. This alignment across multiple indicator families (momentum, trend, and rate-of-change) suggests that the bearish move is not isolated to a single metric but is a coordinated shift in market dynamics. The signal is reinforced by a consistent bearish trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 4-hour timeframe showing a solid trend (3/5), indicating that the medium-term momentum is aligned with the immediate price action. The only dissenting timeframe is the 1-day, which is bullish and trend forming (2/5), but this is a higher timeframe and may not yet be influencing the shorter-term moves.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 82270.43 and the nearest support at 81200.00. A break below support would likely accelerate the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal. The confluence of signals and the strong trend score on the 4-hour timeframe suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside. However, the choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes (1/5) implies that the market is not in a clean, linear downtrend, which could lead to sharp but short-lived moves. Traders should be prepared for potential volatility and quick reversals if key levels are tested.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment of 12+ indicators across momentum, trend, and rate-of-change groups, all pointing down.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across six timeframes (15m to 12h), with the 4h showing a solid trend score.
▼ High probability (97%) and very strong strength rating on the signal, indicating high confidence.
▼ The bearish move is supported by both indicator and candlestick groups, adding confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe is bullish and forming a trend, which could eventually pull the market higher.
▲ Most timeframes are choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting weak trend conviction and potential for whipsaw moves.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 82270.43, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a move higher could follow.
▲ Momentum indicators can fade quickly; a failure to break below the 81200.00 support could lead to a consolidation or reversal.