EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-20 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

1.60451

Target

1.60158 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60932 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (41.44)

model score 27.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.53
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	0.98
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators align on the 30m and higher timeframes, suggesting a strong short-term sell bias.
The trendline break and moving average retreats confirm a shift in momentum, but higher timeframe trends are not yet fully developed.
Watch the 1.60315 support level; a break could accelerate downside, while a reclaim of 1.60932 would signal a potential reversal.
The 15m bullish choppiness is a caution, indicating possible short-term pullbacks or consolidation.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA) and cross-downs across ADX, BOP, STOCHF KD, and BBANDS. This confluence indicates a broad-based shift in momentum, with the 30m and 1h timeframes both bearish and the 2h timeframe showing a solid trend (3/5 strength). The alignment across these timeframes suggests that the bearish move is not just a short-term fluctuation but is supported by a developing trend on higher timeframes.

However, the 15m timeframe is still bullish, though choppy, and the 12h and 1d timeframes are only mildly bearish with weak trend scores. This creates a mixed picture: while the immediate momentum is clearly bearish, the lack of strong trend on the higher timeframes could mean the move is corrective rather than a major reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.60315, which if broken could open further downside, and the nearest resistance at 1.60932, which would need to be reclaimed to invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals, including trendline break and multiple MA retreats, increases confidence in the move.
▼ Trend alignment across 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, with the 2h showing a solid trend (3/5), supports the bearish direction.
▼ The ADX trend weak and BOP zero cross down indicate fading buying pressure and a shift toward selling dominance.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe remains bullish, which could lead to short-term counter-trend moves or a false breakdown.
▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are only choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, suggesting the bearish move may be a correction within a larger range.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.60932 resistance, the bearish signals would be invalidated, and a reversal could follow.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 2h trend (currently solid) weakens, so monitor the trend strength on that timeframe.