EUR/GBP – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.83949
Target
0.84288 +0.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83577 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, TSI Signal Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 89 % (12.03) ▼ Bearish 11 % (1.52)
model score 12.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 639 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/GBP  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 12%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.30
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.22
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.17
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.15
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.05
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 30-minute buy signal is a counter-trend bounce inside a strong bearish trend across higher timeframes.
  • Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, DEMA, MIDPRICE, SMI, TSI, HMA, TTM) increase the signal's reliability for a short-term move.
  • Watch resistance at 0.84288 — a break above would signal potential trend shift; failure to hold support at 0.83794 invalidates the bounce.
  • Expect limited upside unless higher timeframes turn bullish; this is a tactical trade, not a trend change.
The EUR/GBP 30-minute signal fires a dense cluster of bullish triggers — BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Up, TSI Signal Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and TTM TREND Trend Up — alongside candlestick and indicator groups. This suggests a short-term counter-trend bounce is developing within a broader bearish context. The signal's very strong strength (88% probability) reflects a high degree of internal alignment across multiple indicator families, yet the higher timeframes (1h through 12h) all show bearish trends with very strong scores. This creates a classic conflict: the 30-minute buy signal is likely a corrective move against the dominant downtrend, not a reversal. Key levels to monitor are resistance at 0.84288 and support at 0.83794. A sustained break above resistance would challenge the bearish narrative, while a failure to hold above support would confirm the broader trend remains down. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure, with tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong internal confluence: 8+ indicators firing in the same direction on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (88%) suggests high probability of the short-term move playing out.
  • ▲ The bounce is occurring off a nearby support level (0.83794), providing a clear reference for entry and stop placement.
  • ▲ The bearish trend on higher timeframes may create room for a mean-reversion bounce, as the market is oversold in the short term.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h to 12h) are all bearish with very strong trend scores, which could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ If the price breaks below support at 0.83794, the long signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The 15-minute and 1-day timeframes are only 'solid' (3/5) trends, indicating some inconsistency in the broader trend strength.
  • ▼ The bounce may be shallow; without a break above resistance at 0.84288, the move could fade quickly.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.84288 2026-10-19
R2 0.84341 2026-10-16
R3 0.84777 2026-10-15
S1 0.83794 2026-10-21

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