XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-21 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.35 %

Entry

1.3324

Target

1.2562 +5.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.3534 −1.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.06 % per trade 1,445 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,445 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.88 % 20 % at stop avg −3.86 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, VIDYA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +1% Swing

▲ Bullish 35 % (3.17) ▼ Bearish 65 % (5.96)

model score 65.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 20.9 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 25.4 % vs 21.9 % (crypto, 2,196 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, MACD, TSI) align bearish on the 4H, supported by a Shooting Star candlestick.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, but lower timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict that may limit the downside.
Watch the resistance at 1.35340: a break above would invalidate the bearish signal; a break below support at 1.25620 would confirm the downtrend.
The signal strength is moderate (65%), so caution is advised—confirmation from price action is needed.

The 4H signal fires a bearish cluster on XRP/USDT, with multiple indicators converging on a downside move. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down both confirm a shift in buying pressure, while the MACD Zero Cross Up and TSI Zero Cross Up suggest momentum is turning against the recent uptrend. The Shooting Star candlestick on the 4H timeframe adds a bearish reversal pattern, and the VIDYA Retreat Down reinforces the loss of upside momentum. Together, these signals point to a potential pullback from current levels.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes. The 8H and 12H trends are bearish with strong scores (4/5 and 3/5), and the 1D is also bearish (2/5), suggesting the broader trend is down. However, lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are all bullish, with the 1H and 4H showing solid trends (3/5). This means the bearish signal is firing against a shorter-term bullish push, which could lead to a correction or a pause. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.35340, which if broken would invalidate the bearish case, and the nearest support at 1.25620, which if taken out could extend the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on the 8H and 12H timeframes (4/5 and 3/5) supports the signal.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, MACD, TSI) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ The Shooting Star pattern is a classic bearish reversal candlestick, adding weight to the signal.
▼ The VIDYA Retreat Down indicates a loss of upside momentum, aligning with the bearish theme.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-4H) are bullish, which could mean the bearish signal is premature or a pullback rather than a reversal.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.35340 is close; if price breaks above it, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The moderate strength (65%) suggests the signal is not extremely reliable—momentum could fade.
▲ The 1D trend is only trend forming (2/5), so the higher-timeframe bearishness is not yet fully established.