GBP/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
211.427
Target
208.359 +1.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
217.464 −2.86 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 225 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 225 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.40 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.61 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, HT SINE Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % – first candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 29 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 71 % (12.00)
model score 70.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 433 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.88
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 1.78
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.71
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.69
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.51
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.50
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.45
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 8H sell signal is driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators all turning bearish simultaneously.
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are still bullish, creating a conflict that weakens the sell case.
  • Watch the 217.46400 resistance: a rejection there would support the bearish signal, while a break above would invalidate it.
  • The nearest support at 208.35900 is far away; any downside move may need to overcome multiple bullish higher-timeframe levels first.
The 8H SELL signal on GBP/JPY is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators all flipping bearish at the same time: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, KDJ Cross Down, and KDJ OB Exit. This convergence suggests a coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure on the 8H timeframe, with the upper Bollinger band retreating and the EMA 200 pulling back, indicating that the recent upside momentum is fading. The KDJ exiting overbought territory adds a mean-reversion element, while the HT TRENDMODE shifting to trend implies a potential regime change from choppy to trending conditions.

However, the alignment across higher timeframes is not supportive. The 1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 2H, 8H, and 12H showing choppy/sideways conditions. This means the 8H sell signal is firing against the prevailing bullish bias on higher timeframes, which reduces the probability of a sustained downtrend. The nearest resistance is 217.46400, which is likely a key level to watch for a rejection, while the nearest support is 208.35900, a long way down. For the sell to gain traction, price would need to break below the 8H support structure and see higher timeframes roll over, but as of now, the bullish higher-timeframe trend is a significant headwind.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH KD, BBANDS UPPER, EMA 200, HT SINE, KDJ) all firing bearish simultaneously on the 8H timeframe.
  • ▼ KDJ exiting overbought territory suggests momentum is fading from an extended upside move.
  • ▼ HT TRENDMODE shifting to trend indicates a potential change from choppy to trending conditions, which could favor a directional move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, directly conflicting with the 8H sell signal.
  • ▲ The 2H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting indecision and a lack of clear trend.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the 217.46400 resistance, the sell signal would be invalidated and the bullish higher-timeframe trend could resume.
  • ▲ The sell signal is moderate strength (70% probability, moderate strength), so it may be a counter-trend pullback rather than a major reversal.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 71%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-21 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 217.46400 2026-08-25
R2 218.67600 2026-07-30
R3 219.60500 2026-07-15
S1 208.35900 2026-10-14
S2 206.88500 2026-09-30

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