USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-21 04:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

0.82561

Target

0.82178 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −1.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 410 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 410 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.44 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, TRIMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing

▲ Bullish 17 % (4.31) ▼ Bearish 83 % (21.46)

model score 83.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.17
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.11
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong, multi-indicator bearish signal on 4H with 83% probability and strong strength.
Bearish trend is forming on 4H, 8H, and 1D, but lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of immediate follow-through.
Key levels: resistance at 0.83950 (invalidation) and support at 0.82178 (target zone).
Expect continued downside pressure, but watch for a lack of momentum if lower timeframes fail to align.

The 4H USD/CHF signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, and MA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence across momentum, trend, and moving average systems points to a strong, broad-based shift toward selling pressure on this timeframe. The 4H trend is forming (2/5), aligning with the 8H and 1D timeframes, which also show bearish trends forming. However, the lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are choppy and sideways, suggesting that immediate momentum is not yet fully synchronized, but the overall direction is consistently bearish.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.82178. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the strong probability (83%) and the multi-indicator alignment, the bias is clearly toward further downside, but traders should watch for any signs of a reversal, especially if the lower timeframes begin to show bullish divergence or if price action stalls near support.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, moving averages) all firing bearish simultaneously, increasing confidence.
▼ Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes supports a developing downtrend.
▼ AROON and BOP zero-cross downs indicate a shift in momentum and buying pressure, respectively.
▼ Strong probability score (83%) and strong signal strength suggest high conviction in the bearish direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to consolidation or a temporary bounce before the trend resumes.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.83950, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 12H timeframe is also choppy/sideways, indicating that the higher-timeframe trend may not be fully established.
▲ Watch for any bullish divergence in indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD) that could signal fading momentum.