USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-21 07:30 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

1.40641

Target

1.41125 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40323 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, SMI Signal Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +58% Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (35.42) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.06)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 639 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.47
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.38
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong BUY signal on the 30m timeframe, but it's counter to the overall bearish trend across higher timeframes.
The Falling Wedge pattern and multiple indicator cross-ups suggest a potential short-term bullish reversal or bounce.
Key levels to watch: support at 1.40323 and resistance at 1.40649; a break of support invalidates the signal.
Expect choppy price action given the conflicting trend alignment; use tight stops and take profits quickly.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a high-probability BUY signal (89%, very strong) despite a broader bearish trend across all timeframes. The signal is driven by a cluster of indicators and a chart pattern: a Falling Wedge, AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Weak, BBANDS Middle Cross Up, and DEMA Retreat Up, among others. This confluence suggests a potential short-term bullish reversal or a corrective bounce within the larger downtrend. The Falling Wedge pattern typically indicates a bullish reversal after a period of bearish price action, and the multiple zero-cross and cross-up signals from momentum and volatility indicators support this interpretation.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is strongly bearish, with the 2h and 4h timeframes showing very strong bearish trends (4/5). This creates a conflict: the 30-minute signal is attempting to catch a counter-trend move against the dominant bearish momentum. The key levels are tight: nearest support at 1.40323 and resistance at 1.40649. A break above resistance could confirm the reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the larger downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a broader bearish context, with strict risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (AROON, BOP, CCI, BBANDS, DEMA) all pointing to bullish momentum.
▲ Falling Wedge pattern is a classic bullish reversal pattern, adding chart-pattern confluence.
▲ Very strong signal strength (89% probability) increases confidence in the short-term move.
▲ The 30m trend is 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bearish trend may be losing momentum at this timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (1h to 1d) argues against a sustained upside move.
▼ Resistance at 1.40649 is very close (about 30 pips), limiting upside room before hitting a ceiling.
▼ If price drops below support at 1.40323, the bullish signal is invalidated and the larger downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The signal is on a low timeframe (30m) which is prone to noise; the 'choppy/sideways' 15m trend adds uncertainty.