ETH/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
56 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.33 %
Entry
2,400.82
Target
2,526.62 +5.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,372.62 −1.17 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 5,364 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,364 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.53 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.53 % 22 % at stop avg −2.09 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.9 % – first candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 59 % (6.57) ▼ Bearish 41 % (4.49)
model score 59.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 45.0 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,906 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.34
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.85
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.71
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.32
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The BUY signal is a weak counter-trend bounce within a strong bearish trend.
  • Bearish alignment across all timeframes argues against a sustained reversal.
  • Watch the 2526.62 resistance; a break above would be needed to shift momentum.
  • A drop below 2372.62 support would invalidate the bullish signal and confirm the downtrend.
The 1H BUY signal on ETH/USDT is firing against a predominantly bearish backdrop. While the BOP Zero Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and HMA/ZLMA Retreat Up suggest a short-term bounce attempt, the STOCH KD Cross Down and SMA 20/50 Death Cross indicate persistent bearish momentum. The Gapping Down Doji adds a cautionary note, reflecting recent selling pressure. This confluence suggests a potential corrective retracement rather than a trend reversal, with the signal strength weak and probability at 59%.

Across timeframes, bearish trends dominate from 15m through 1D, with the strongest bearish momentum in the lower timeframes (15m/30m at 4/5) and solid bearish trends on 1H and 8H/12H. The 4H is choppy/sideways, offering some hope for a pause, but the higher timeframe alignment is clearly against the long side. Key levels to watch are resistance at 2526.62 and support at 2372.62. A break above resistance would improve the bullish case, while a loss of support would confirm the bearish trend and likely invalidate the bounce.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Short-term indicators (BOP, HT PHASOR, HMA, ZLMA) all show upward crossovers, suggesting a temporary reprieve.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating that bearish momentum may be stalling.
  • ▲ The signal fires at a time when price is likely near support, providing a base for a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, with strong bearish momentum in the 15m-1H range.
  • ▼ The SMA 20/50 Death Cross and STOCH KD Cross Down indicate that the bearish trend is still intact.
  • ▼ The signal's weak strength and low probability suggest limited conviction; the bounce may be shallow.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 2372.62 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 59%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,526.62000 2026-10-21
S1 2,372.62000 2026-10-20
S2 2,329.00000 2026-10-18

Tags

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