ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %
Entry
0.02938
Target
0.02931 +0.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.02956 −0.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % ↑ +27.9 vs previous candle
STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 13 % (1.25) ▼ Bearish 87 % (8.20)
model score 86.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
ETH/BTC  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 87%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.64
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.58
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes showing strong trends, supporting the sell signal.
  • A powerful confluence of indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MA, etc.) all point to continued downside.
  • Watch the 0.02931 support; a break below could trigger further selling.
  • Resistance at 0.02956 is the immediate upside hurdle; a reclaim would invalidate bearish momentum.
The 30-minute ETH/BTC signal is decisively bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick indicators. The simultaneous firing of BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) indicates a broad-based sell-off across different calculation methodologies. This alignment suggests that the current downward move is not isolated to a single indicator but is supported by multiple technical systems, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Timeframe analysis reveals a consistent bearish bias across all monitored periods, from 15 minutes to 1 day. While shorter timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) show choppy/sideways movement, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) display solid to very strong trends, with the 12h being particularly strong. This suggests that the current choppiness is likely a temporary consolidation within a larger, well-established downtrend. The key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.02956 and support at 0.02931. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across all timeframes, especially the very strong 12h trend.
  • ▼ Multiple independent indicator groups (momentum, trend, candlestick) firing simultaneously.
  • ▼ High probability (100%) and very strong strength signal from the automated system.
  • ▼ The presence of retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA) indicates that price is pulling back from recent highs, confirming bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) could indicate a lack of clear direction, leading to false signals.
  • ▲ A break above the 0.02956 resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ If the 12h trend (very strong) starts to weaken, the confluence may fade, reducing the probability of the signal playing out.
  • ▲ The signal is on a 30M timeframe; higher timeframe trends (like 1d) are strong but could be nearing exhaustion, leading to a potential reversal.
Symbol ETH/BTC
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 87%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 13:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.02956 2026-10-22
R2 0.02978 2026-10-21
S1 0.02931 2026-10-22
S2 0.02922 2026-10-20
S3 0.02921 2026-10-20

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