EUR/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %
Entry
1.56995
Target
1.56732 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.57910 −0.58 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (1.67) ▼ Bearish 95 % (31.92)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.37
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.34
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.03
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.67
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.50
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.48

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish confluence across all timeframes, with very strong probability and strength on the 30M chart.
  • Nearest resistance at 1.57910 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the sell signal.
  • Multiple moving average retreats and a trendline break reinforce the bearish momentum.
  • The STOCHF KD Cross Up is a minor bullish blip but does not outweigh the dominant bearish trend.
The EUR/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a MAMA PRICE Break Down. The STOCHF KD Cross Up adds a short-term momentum nuance, but the overall signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish, with very strong probability (95%) and strength. The multi-timeframe trend alignment is broad: all timeframes from 15 minutes to 1 day show bearish direction, with the strongest conviction on the 15-minute (4/5) and solid trends on 30m, 2h, 4h, and 8h. This coherence suggests the downtrend is not a mere scalp but has established momentum across multiple scales.

Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance at 1.57910 acts as the immediate ceiling; a break back above this level would invalidate the bearish thesis. With no defined support below, the path of least resistance is downward, but traders should be cautious of the lack of a nearby support level, which can lead to rapid moves. The STOCHF KD Cross Up is a minor counter-signal, but given the overwhelming bearish confluence, it is likely a short-term retracement within the larger downtrend. Overall, the signal suggests a continuation of the bearish move, with the invalidation level clearly at 1.57910.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1d) supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Dense cluster of signals: Trendline Break Down, multiple MA retreats, and MAMA PRICE Break Down.
  • ▼ Solid trend scores on 30m, 2h, 4h, and 8h indicate established momentum.
  • ▼ No nearby support suggests room for further downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A break above the resistance at 1.57910 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up could signal a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the decline.
  • ▲ Lack of a defined support level may lead to sharp moves, but also increases the risk of a sudden reversal if buying emerges.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (1d) trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the broader daily trend is not yet fully established.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.57910 2026-10-22
R2 1.58064 2026-10-21
R3 1.58190 2026-10-20

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