USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
56 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
1.40176
Target
1.39937 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40821 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Channel, Trendline Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 11 % (8.80) ▼ Bearish 89 % (69.36)
model score 88.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Channelbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.71
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.65
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.88
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.88
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.18
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.09
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H showing the strongest trend.
  • Multiple indicators and patterns confirm the sell signal, including a trendline break and descending channel.
  • Key resistance at 1.40821 is the level to monitor; a break above would signal a reversal.
  • No nearby support suggests potential for continued downside, but also increases risk of a sharp bounce.
The USD/CAD 30-minute signal is a strong SELL, backed by a very strong probability of 86%. The confluence of signals includes a Trendline Break Down, a Descending Channel, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE), alongside a BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI exiting oversold territory. This cluster indicates a clear bearish momentum, with the price respecting the descending channel and breaking key trendlines to the downside.

Across all timeframes, the trend is uniformly bearish, with the 4-hour timeframe showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 1-hour trend still forming (2/5), suggesting the bearish move is well-established but may still have room to develop. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. The absence of a defined nearest support highlights the potential for further downside, but traders should be cautious of a lack of nearby support to provide a bounce point.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with the 4H at very strong (4/5).
  • ▼ Confluence of trendline break, descending channel, and multiple moving average retreats.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI oversold exit confirm bearish momentum.
  • ▼ High probability (86%) and very strong strength signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H timeframe shows only a forming trend (2/5), which may indicate the bearish move is not fully mature.
  • ▲ Resistance at 1.40821 is nearby; a break above would invalidate the sell signal.
  • ▲ The lack of a defined support level could lead to a sharp reversal if the market finds a floor unexpectedly.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit) might trigger a bounce, especially if the broader trend shifts.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40821 2026-10-21
R2 1.41125 2026-10-19
R3 1.41128 2026-10-19

Tags

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