USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 11:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

157.085

Target

156.800 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.251 −0.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (2.07) ▼ Bearish 94 % (30.26)

model score 93.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.83
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators on the 30M chart align with a strong downtrend on the 15M and forming trends on 1H/2H, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy or bullish, so the move may be counter-trend and could fade without confirmation.
Watch the 158.25100 resistance as a key invalidation level—a break above it would negate the bearish signals.
No defined support means downside targets are uncertain; manage risk with tight stops.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Williams %R oversold entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA) alongside a downtrend line retreat. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum on the 30-minute timeframe, with the trend score at 3/5 (solid). The bearish alignment extends across the 15-minute (very strong, 4/5) and 1-hour/2-hour timeframes (forming, 2/5), suggesting the move is not isolated but part of a broader short-term downtrend. However, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy and sideways, and the 1-day is bullish, which tempers the conviction of the signal.

Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance is at 158.25100, which may act as a ceiling for any pullback. There is no defined nearest support, so downside targets are less clear, and the pair could face a vacuum below current prices. The bearish signals are strong on the lower timeframes, but the lack of higher-timeframe support means the trade may be short-lived unless the higher timeframes begin to align. Traders should watch for a break below recent lows to confirm continuation, or a reclaim of the 158.25100 level to invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of signals: BOP, STOCHF, Williams %R, and multiple moving-average retreats all point lower.
▼ Trend alignment across 15M, 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes supports the bearish direction.
▼ Very strong probability (87%) and high signal strength indicate robust short-term momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, and the 1D is bullish, which could stall the move.
▲ The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is close—if price pushes above it, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ No defined support means the downside may be limited or unpredictable, and momentum could fade quickly.
▲ Williams %R oversold entry suggests the pair may be due for a bounce, which could trigger a short-term reversal.