BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-25 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.31 %

Entry

80,862.98

Target

79,800.00 +1.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −4.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,666 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,666 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.70 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 21 % at stop avg −3.78 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.09
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.01
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.67
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 4H with multiple indicators aligning.
Higher timeframes (1H-4H) are bearish, but lower timeframes are still bullish—expect possible pullback.
Watch the 80,684 support: a break would confirm the downtrend; a rally above 84,898 would invalidate.
The SAR Flip Bullish is a warning of a possible short-term bounce.

The 4H BTC/USDT signal stack is firmly bearish, with a very strong 89% probability. Multiple independent indicator groups—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, and SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down—converge on lower prices. The candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross and Gapping Down Doji) add confirmation of selling pressure. However, the SAR Flip Bullish is a contrarian signal that suggests a potential short-term bounce, which could create noise before the larger downtrend resumes.

Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish. The 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes all show solid or forming bearish trends, while the 15m and 30m are still bullish, indicating that the immediate momentum may be up but the higher-timeframe bias is down. The 8H, 12H, and 1D trends are choppy/sideways, which means the bearish move is not yet deeply entrenched. Key levels to watch: resistance at 84,898 and support at 80,684. A break below support would confirm the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple independent indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, SUPERTREND) all point down.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Gapping Down Doji) confirm selling pressure.
▼ Bearish alignment across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes supports the move.
▼ Very strong signal strength (89%) increases confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The SAR Flip Bullish suggests a short-term bounce could occur before continuation.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which may create counter-trend moves.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, so the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
▲ If price reclaims the 84,898 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.