ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-25 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.58 %

Entry

0.02911

Target

0.02884 +0.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02978 −2.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,666 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,666 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.70 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 21 % at stop avg −3.78 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Symmetrical Triangle, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↑ +4.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.45) ▼ Bearish 93 % (31.53)

model score 23.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.52
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.27
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	0.98
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 4H signal with very strong probability (95%) and multiple confirming indicators.
All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with the 12H showing the strongest trend.
Key support at 0.02884 is the level to watch for a breakdown; resistance at 0.02978 is the invalidation zone.
The signal is a confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator signals, increasing its reliability.

The 4H ETH/BTC signal is a confluence of bearish indicators, chart patterns, and candlestick data, all pointing to a high-probability sell. The Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, combined with ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple trend retreats (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, SMA, TTM), suggests a decisive shift in momentum. This is reinforced by the trend across timeframes, which is uniformly bearish, with the 12H timeframe showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 8H and 1D timeframes showing solid trends (3/5). The alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, indicates that the bearish pressure is not a short-term anomaly but a broader market move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.02884 and the nearest resistance at 0.02978. The signal is very strong (95% probability), and the confluence of multiple indicator groups (indicator, candlestick, chart_pattern) adds to its conviction. The invalidation level is just above the resistance, and any sustained move above that would negate the bearish thesis. Traders should watch for a break below support to confirm the continuation, but also be aware that the 4H trend is still 'forming' (2/5), so the move may be early.

Catalysts

▼ Symmetrical Triangle breakdown on the 4H chart.
▼ ADXR Trend Strong indicates a robust downtrend.
▼ Multiple retreats (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, SMA, TTM) confirm the bearish move.
▼ BOP and STOCHF cross-downs add momentum to the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the move may be early and could reverse.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 0.02978 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only 'solid' (3/5), so a higher timeframe conflict could emerge.
▲ If the support at 0.02884 holds, the sell may be premature and could lead to a bounce.