ETH/BTC – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.58 %
Entry
0.02911
Target
0.02884 +0.93 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.02978 −2.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.15 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 900 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +4.17 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.39 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.70 % 21 % at stop avg −5.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
64.5 % ↑ +24.8 vs previous candle
STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 11 % (2.88) ▼ Bearish 89 % (22.62)
model score 88.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 4 candles
ETH/BTC  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 8h 89%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.45
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.86
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.75
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.72
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.47
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish confluence across all timeframes—strongest on 8H/12H—suggests a high-probability sell setup.
  • Multiple retreat-down signals (BBANDS, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) confirm broad-based downward pressure.
  • Watch the 0.02978 resistance as the invalidation zone; a close above would weaken the bearish case.
  • First downside objective is the 0.02884 support; a break could accelerate selling.
The ETH/BTC pair on the 8H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple retreat-down signals from the BBANDS, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and T3 indicators. This confluence indicates a strong, broad-based rejection of higher prices across multiple volatility and trend measures. The TSI Signal Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down further confirm that momentum has shifted decisively lower.

Trend alignment across timeframes is unusually consistent: every timeframe from 15m to 1D is bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid-to-very-strong trend scores. This multi-timeframe agreement reinforces the probability of the move playing out. The nearest resistance at 0.02978 is the key level to watch for any bounce attempts, while the nearest support at 0.02884 is the first downside target. A break below support could open the door to further declines.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1D) with 8H and 12H showing solid/very strong bearish trends.
  • ▼ Dense cluster of retreat-down signals from multiple independent indicators (BBANDS, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) adds confluence.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and TSI Signal Cross Down confirm momentum shift to the downside.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) supports high conviction in the bearish direction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A close above the 0.02978 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (1D) is only 'solid' (3/5), not 'very strong', leaving room for trend reversal if momentum stalls.
  • ▲ Fading momentum in the lower timeframes (all 2/5) could mean the move is overextended and due for a pause.
  • ▲ If the 0.02884 support holds firmly, the pair may consolidate sideways, delaying further downside.
Symbol ETH/BTC
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 89%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-25 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.02978 2026-10-21
R2 0.03065 2026-10-12
R3 0.03253 2026-09-29
S1 0.02884 2026-10-18

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