BTC/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW
42 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %
Entry
80,416.01
Target
87,220.00 +8.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
74,967.97 −6.77 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 616 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 616 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +5.30 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.87 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.91 % 16 % at stop avg −6.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 85 % (9.19) ▼ Bearish 15 % (1.59)
model score 85.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 40.1 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,763 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 23h
  • TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.83
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.70
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.65
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ Hammer candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are all turning up from oversold, suggesting a short-term bounce.
  • The Hammer and Bollinger Band retreat add to the reversal case, but the Ichimoku TK Cross Down warns of lingering bearish pressure.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 2H) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal—expect resistance near 87220.
  • Watch the 79800 support: a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The 12H chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bottoming signals: the BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is overtaking selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up and WILLR OS Exit confirm momentum is turning higher from oversold conditions. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up shows price bouncing off the lower band, and the SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire suggests an imminent expansion, likely to the upside given the other signals. The Hammer candlestick adds a classic reversal pattern, though the ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down remains a bearish overlay, which tempers the bullish conviction.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish: the 4H and 2H show solid downtrends, and the 1H is forming a trend. The 12H and 1D are choppy/sideways, which aligns with a potential range rather than a new uptrend. The nearest resistance at 87220 is a key hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while support at 79800 is the invalidation zone. The signal is strong but counter-trend, so traders should treat it as a bounce within a larger downtrend unless higher timeframes confirm.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are aligned in a bullish crossover from oversold levels.
  • ▲ The Bollinger Band lower retreat and Hammer candlestick provide classic reversal confluence.
  • ▲ The Squeeze Fire indicates a volatility expansion, which often precedes directional moves—here favoring upside.
  • ▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, which can allow a bounce to develop without immediate trend resistance.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (4H, 2H) are in solid downtrends, which may cap any rally and pull price back down.
  • ▼ The Ichimoku TK Cross Down is a bearish signal that conflicts with the bullish cluster.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 87220 is a significant overhead level; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 79800 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 85%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 87,220.00000 2026-10-02
R2 87,395.67000 2026-09-21
S1 79,800.00000 2026-10-15
S2 74,967.97000 2026-09-15
S3 62,535.24000 2026-08-14

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