AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.31 %
Entry
110.631
Target
110.082 +0.50 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.308 −0.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Direction Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Press Conference●●●in 55m
  • November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days
  • November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 18%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 2.66
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.03
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.76
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.67
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.44
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.36
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.14
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.94
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum cluster on the 1H chart points to a short-term pullback, not a reversal.
  • Support at 110.082 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 110.758 is the invalidation area.
  • Higher timeframes (1H-4H) remain bullish, so expect choppy, mean-reverting price action.
  • Trend scores are low across timeframes, indicating a ranging market rather than a strong directional move.
A dense cluster of momentum and oscillator readings has flipped bearish on the 1H AUD/JPY chart. The BOP zero cross down, CCI and WILLR exits from overbought conditions, and a STOCH KD cross down all point to a loss of upside momentum after a run into resistance. The HMA has also turned down, suggesting near-term price structure is shifting lower. These signals are consistent with a short-term pullback within a broader range, as the pair struggles to hold above the 110.758 resistance.

The lower timeframes are uniformly bearish, with the 15m and 1D charts showing a trend in formation, while the intermediate timeframes remain choppy and lack a clear directional bias. This implies the sell setup is best viewed as a counter-trend move against the still-bullish 1H to 4H structure. The nearest support at 110.082 is the primary downside objective; a break below that level would confirm a deeper correction. Conversely, a reclaim of the 110.758 resistance would negate the bearish signal and likely extend the broader uptrend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exits (CCI, WILLR, KDJ) and a BOP zero cross down.
  • ▼ Bearish momentum confirmed by HMA direction and ERI/ER crosses.
  • ▼ 15m and 1D timeframes are forming bearish trends, supporting the short-term downside.
  • ▼ Clearing of the nearest support at 110.082 would open the path for a larger correction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are still bullish, which could absorb selling pressure.
  • ▲ The signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, so a bounce from support is possible.
  • ▲ Resistance at 110.758 is close by; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Overall trend scores are weak (1/5 on most timeframes), indicating a lack of conviction.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 18%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-27 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.75800 2026-10-26
R2 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 110.08200 2026-10-26
S2 109.48900 2026-10-23
S3 108.63400 2026-10-15

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