AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-27 02:30 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %

Entry

110.846

Target

110.324 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.308 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

06:30TodayJPYBoJ Press Conference●●●in 58m
00:30November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.32
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.20
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	2.07
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.90
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.89
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signal on 30M with multiple overbought exits and a Fibonacci break.
Higher timeframes are mostly bullish but choppy, so the sell is counter-trend and may be short-lived.
Key levels: resistance at 111.308, support at 110.324; invalidation if price reclaims resistance.
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes before committing to the short side.

The 30-minute AUD/JPY signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators at 06:30 UTC, including a BOP zero cross down, RSI and KDJ exits from overbought territory, a stochastic KD cross down, an HMA retreat, a Keltner upper-band retreat, a Fibonacci break below the 24% retracement level, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. Together, these point to a short-term momentum shift lower after a period of upward pressure. However, the broader context is mixed: the trend across 15m through 4h is bullish but choppy and weak (scores of 1-2/5), while the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish but also choppy. This creates a tug-of-war between near-term bullish drift and longer-term bearish structure.

The confluence of multiple overbought exits and a Fibonacci break suggests that the immediate upside may be exhausting, with a likely pullback toward the nearest support at 110.324. The nearest resistance at 111.308 acts as a ceiling if the bearish signal fails. The signal's strength (77% probability, strong) is supported by the alignment of indicator and candlestick patterns, but the weak trend scores across all timeframes reduce conviction. Traders should watch for a break below the 30-minute support to confirm the bearish move, or a reclaim of the resistance to invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of overbought exits (RSI, KDJ) and stochastic cross down.
▼ Fibonacci break below 24% retracement adds structural bearish weight.
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern confirms selling pressure.
▼ Longer-term (8h-1d) bearish trend provides a backdrop for downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, which could override the 30M signal.
▲ Trend scores are weak (choppy/sideways) across all timeframes, suggesting low momentum.
▲ If price holds above support and reclaims resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Counter-trend signals in choppy conditions often result in false breakouts.