AVAX/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −2.28 %
Entry
8.7430
Target
8.6750 +0.78 %
closes in profit
Stop
9.3500 −6.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 14
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 3,192 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,192 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.08 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.09 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.14 % 22 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % ↑ +27.0 vs previous candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday
▲ Bullish 17 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 83 % (23.74)
model score 82.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 14 candles
AVAX/USDT  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 2h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 5h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 2h 83%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 10:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.92
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.69
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.36
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.27
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.26

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All key timeframes (30m to 12h) are bearish with solid trend scores, signaling a strong downtrend.
  • Multiple indicators—including ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down and DEMA/ALMA Retreat Down—confirm bearish momentum.
  • Watch the nearest support at 8.67500 as the immediate target and 9.35000 as the invalidation level.
  • High probability (77%) and strong strength increase conviction in the sell signal.
The SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT at the 2H timeframe is supported by a dense cluster of bearish indicator signals. The ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down and DEMA/ALMA Retreat Down confirm a shift in momentum to the downside, while the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is dominating. The STOCH/STOCHF KD combinations (one cross up, one cross down) suggest choppy but overall bearish intent, with the BBANDS Lower Retreat Up and ER Level Cross Down reinforcing that price is retracing within a downtrend rather than reversing. This confluence points to continued downside pressure, with the nearest support at 8.67500 as the immediate target if bearish momentum persists.

Across all timeframes from 30m to 12h, the trend is uniformly bearish with a solid trend score of 3/5, while the 15m and 1d are also bearish but only forming (2/5). This alignment suggests the selling pressure is broad and not isolated to a single timeframe, increasing the reliability of the signal. Resistance sits at 9.35000, which is the key level to watch for any pullback; a break above that would weaken the bearish case. The strong probability (77%) and strong strength score add confidence, but traders should remain alert to any signs of momentum fading or a reversal off support.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across 30m to 12h timeframes, all scoring 3/5.
  • ▼ Confluence of 9 different bearish indicator signals pointing to downside.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure is active and persistent.
  • ▼ Key resistance at 9.35000 remains untested, reinforcing the bearish structure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1d timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), leaving room for a larger-scale reversal.
  • ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up may signal an oversold bounce that could lead to a temporary pullback.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 9.35000, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a short squeeze could follow.
  • ▲ Bearish momentum might be waning if price fails to decline toward support quickly.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-27 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 9.35000 2026-10-23
R2 10.05400 2026-10-21
R3 10.52200 2026-10-16
S1 8.67500 2026-10-24

Tags

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