BTC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-27 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.00 %

Entry

79,910.01

Target

74,967.97 +6.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −6.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 638 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 638 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.27 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.92 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.90 % 16 % at stop avg −6.30 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div, ALMA Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −3.8 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +25% Position

▲ Bullish 12 % (3.22) ▼ Bearish 88 % (23.14)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 2h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 3h
12:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●Forecast 199KPrevious 194Kin 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.68
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.02
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.56
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.26

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 12H with 87% probability, backed by multiple indicators.
Trend alignment across 1H to 8H supports the bearish case, but 15M/30M are bullish and choppy.
Watch the 84898 resistance: a reclaim would weaken the bearish setup.
The 79800 support is the first major target; a break below it would confirm the downtrend.

The 12H BTC/USDT signal stack is firmly bearish, with eight indicators aligning to confirm downside momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and ER Level Cross Down all point to a loss of upside momentum, while the DEMA Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, and ALMA Break Down confirm that price is breaking below key dynamic support levels. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests volatility is expanding to the downside. Interestingly, the AO Saucer Bullish is a contrarian signal, but it is likely capturing a brief, shallow recovery within a larger bearish structure. The confluence of these indicators, all firing in the same direction, gives the signal a very strong probability of playing out.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is well supported. The 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 2H and 4H being solid (3/5). The 12H itself is trend forming (2/5), which means the bearish move is still developing. However, the 15M and 30M timeframes are bullish and choppy, suggesting the immediate short-term may see a bounce or consolidation before the larger bearish trend resumes. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 84898.00, which if reclaimed could invalidate the bearish thesis, and the nearest support at 79800.00, which is the first major target and a critical level for continuation. A break below that support would open the door to further downside, but until then, the bearish signal remains valid but not yet fully confirmed.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (STOCHF, KDJ, ER, DEMA, T3, ALMA) all firing in the same bearish direction.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 2H and 4H timeframes, providing medium-term confluence.
▼ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicates expanding downside volatility, which often accelerates moves.
▼ Signal strength is 'very strong' with 87% probability, increasing confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Bullish 15M and 30M timeframes could trigger a short-term bounce that delays the bearish move.
▲ The AO Saucer Bullish is a contrarian signal, hinting at a possible bullish reversal if it gains traction.
▲ Resistance at 84898 is close; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ The 12H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the downtrend is not yet fully established and could fade.