NZD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.53 %
Entry
0.56978
Target
0.57104 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56678 −0.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Up, ALMA Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up +17 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NZD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 9h
  • TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 10h
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 2h 12%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.86
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.73
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.58
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.43
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.28
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 1.93
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.91
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ EMA 50 Break Up indicator 1.73
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.73
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.47
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.44
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.32
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.24
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.10
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.10
▲ Three Outside Up candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong 2H bullish signal with multiple momentum and trend indicators firing together.
  • Higher timeframes are mixed: 8H/12H bullish, but 1D and 30m-4H bearish, so the move may be counter-trend.
  • Watch the 0.57072 resistance and 0.56678 support as key decision levels.
  • Probability is 100% and strength very strong, but context suggests caution due to conflicting higher timeframes.
The NZD/USD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum and trend indicators, including CCI, CMO, and RSI zero/midline cross-ups, plus multiple moving average breaks and retreats. This suggests a sharp, near-term upward impulse within the 2H timeframe, with probability rated at 100% and very strong strength. However, the broader timeframe context is mixed: the 8H and 12H trends are bullish (with 12H solid), but the 30m through 4H timeframes are bearish or choppy, and the 1D trend is bearish solid. This creates a conflict between the immediate 2H signal and the higher-timeframe bearish bias, implying the bullish move may be a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.57072 and support at 0.56678. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish impulse and potentially shift the higher timeframes, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed trend alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical opportunity rather than a trend reversal, with tight risk management around the support level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Dense confluence of momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI) all crossing up simultaneously.
  • ▲ Multiple moving average breaks (EMA 50, EMA 200, KAMA) support a strong upward push.
  • ▲ 12H trend is solid bullish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind.
  • ▲ Signal strength is very strong with 100% probability, indicating high conviction in the model.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Conflicting higher timeframe: 1D trend is bearish solid, which could cap the upside.
  • ▼ The 30m-4H timeframes are bearish, suggesting the immediate move may be a correction within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.57072 is nearby; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 0.56678, the bullish signal is invalidated.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.57072 2026-10-26
R2 0.57104 2026-10-22
S1 0.56678 2026-10-22
S2 0.55653 2026-10-14

Tags

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