AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 13:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.13 %

Entry

0.70187

Target

0.70058 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70680 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 8h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 8h
22:00TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.55
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.27
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong, multi-indicator bearish signal has fired on the 30M chart, suggesting a high-probability short-term sell opportunity.
The move is counter-trend to the higher timeframes, which remain bullish but weak—so this is likely a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.70680 (invalidation) and support at 0.70122 (target zone).
Trend scores are low across all timeframes, so the signal may be sharp but not sustained; expect possible chop.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. The RSI overbought exit and STOCHF cross-up suggest momentum is shifting lower after a short-term bounce, while the overwhelming confluence of indicator groups points to a very strong short-term sell setup with 87% probability.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15-minute and 1-hour views are bearish but only trend-forming, while the 2-hour through daily timeframes remain bullish, albeit weak (1-2/5). This means the current sell signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.70122 define the immediate range; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the move.

Catalysts

▼ Heavy confluence: over a dozen bearish signals fired simultaneously, including trendline break, moving-average retreats, and Bollinger Band break.
▼ RSI overbought exit and STOCHF cross-up confirm momentum is turning lower after a bounce.
▼ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all retreating in the same direction reinforces the bearish momentum.
▼ The 30M timeframe itself is bearish, aligning with the signal direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, so this sell signal could be a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ Trend scores are very low (1-2/5) across all timeframes, indicating weak trend strength and potential for sideways chop.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.70680 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bounce becomes likely.
▲ The STOCHF cross-up could signal a short-term bounce, which might delay the bearish move.