AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 11:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.30 %

Entry

8.7760

Target

8.6620 +1.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1620 −4.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 6,145 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,145 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.51 % 23 % at stop avg −2.04 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 8h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.63
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.59
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.26

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum and trend indicators align for a bearish 1H signal, with a moderate probability of 67%.
Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are solidly bearish, supporting the downside bias.
Key resistance at 9.16200 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the signal.
Immediate downside target is support at 8.66200, with potential for further decline if broken.

The 1H signal is a confluence of momentum and trend-based indicators all pointing lower. BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Up, and MOM Zero Cross Up suggest a shift in buying pressure, while ROC and ROCR crosses up indicate a short-term corrective bounce within a broader downtrend. The EMA 50 Retreat Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down confirm that price is being rejected from dynamic and static resistance, reinforcing the bearish case. The signal strength is moderate with a 67% probability, and the alignment across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) shows a solid bearish trend, while the 1H is just beginning to form its downtrend.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 9.16200 as the invalidation zone—if price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis weakens. The nearest support at 8.66200 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate the move. However, the choppy/sideways action on the 15m and 30m timeframes suggests near-term volatility, and the moderate strength implies the signal may need confirmation from price action. The overall trend across timeframes is bearish, but the 1H is still forming, so patience and confirmation are key.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple zero-cross signals (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC) indicate a shift in momentum toward selling.
▼ EMA 50 and HT TRENDLINE retreats confirm rejection from overhead resistance.
▼ Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes shows a solid bearish trend.
▼ Signal strength is moderate, but the confluence of eight+ indicators adds weight.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish and choppy, suggesting possible short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ If price reclaims the 9.16200 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be fully established yet.
▲ Fading momentum or a squeeze above the EMA 50 could lead to a false breakdown.