EUR/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.71 %
Entry
1.55738
Target
1.55002 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59614 −2.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Rectangle, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ALMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day
  • TomorrowEURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 1 day
  • TomorrowEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 11%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Rectanglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.50
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.50
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.60
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators and patterns align on the 4H chart, signaling a high-probability sell.
  • Trend is consistent across higher timeframes (2H to 1D), with solid to very strong scores, supporting the downside move.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.59614; a break above it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • No defined support yet—downside may be open, but manage risk accordingly.
The 4H EUR/CAD signal is firmly bearish with a very strong probability, driven by a confluence of pattern and indicator events. The Rectangle pattern suggests a consolidation phase that has broken to the downside, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirm weakening buying pressure and a bearish shift in momentum. The retreats of DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MAMA PRICE all point to a coordinated rejection of higher prices, reinforcing the downside move.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid to very strong scores on the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts, while the shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are still forming but aligned. This multi-timeframe alignment adds conviction to the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is the level to watch for any potential pullback, while support is not yet defined, meaning the downside could be open. Traders should monitor how price interacts with the resistance and whether the bearish momentum persists on the lower timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multi-timeframe alignment: bearish trend from 15m up to 1D, with strongest scores on 8H and 4H.
  • ▼ Rectangle pattern breakdown adds a classic chart pattern signal to the bearish case.
  • ▼ Multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MAMA PRICE) confirm rejection of higher prices.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate fading buying pressure and bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Nearest resistance at 1.59614 is close; a break above it could signal a false breakdown and invalidate the sell signal.
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are only trend forming (2/5), so momentum may be less established in the very near term.
  • ▲ If the rectangle pattern was a consolidation before continuation, the downside could be sharp, but any pause could allow a bounce.
  • ▲ Watch for any divergence in higher timeframes (e.g., 1D) if the trend score weakens, which could reduce conviction.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.59614 2026-10-15
R2 1.60194 2026-10-09
R3 1.60672 2026-10-06

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