EUR/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.44 %
Entry
175.872
Target
175.098 +0.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.968 −1.19 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 300 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 300 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day
  • TomorrowEURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 1 day
  • TomorrowEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 8h 65%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.53
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.38
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.80
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.65
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.49
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.98
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals fired on the 8H chart, indicating a strong sell bias.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show solid bearish trends, but lower timeframes are choppy—expect possible sideways action.
  • Watch the nearest support at 175.09800; a break below could accelerate the decline.
  • Resistance at 177.96800 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would weaken the bearish case.
The EUR/JPY 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, and QSTICK Zero Cross Down collectively indicate a strong, multi-indicator bearish alignment. The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle and CHOP's choppy reading suggest the market is transitioning, but the dominant bearish momentum is clear. The signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, reflecting a high-conviction setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though the lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are choppy and sideways with a trend score of 1/5, while the 8H and 12H show a solid trend (3/5). This indicates that while the higher timeframes are firmly bearish, the shorter-term action is less defined, which could lead to temporary pullbacks or consolidation. The 1D timeframe is still forming its bearish trend (2/5), so the medium-term direction is not yet fully entrenched. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.96800 and support at 175.09800; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High signal confluence: 10+ indicators all bearish, including STOCHF, EMA, MA, SMA, and trendline retreats.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on 8H and 12H (3/5) support the bearish outlook.
  • ▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle and CHOP choppy suggest a market in transition, often preceding a trend continuation.
  • ▼ Probability at 100% with very strong strength indicates a high-confidence signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are choppy and sideways, which could cause short-term whipsaws or a false breakdown.
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the medium-term bearish trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 177.96800, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy conditions (CHOP) may indicate a lack of clear direction, potentially leading to a range-bound market rather than a sustained sell-off.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 65%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.96800 2026-10-16
R2 181.54500 2026-09-18
R3 185.98100 2026-08-28
S1 175.09800 2026-10-23

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