EUR/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-29 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.60 %

Entry

1.11280

Target

1.10172 +1.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12696 −1.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 300 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 300 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 30 % (4.34) ▼ Bearish 70 % (10.29)

model score 17.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 8h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 8h
08:00TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.97
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.27
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators fires on the 8H, with very strong strength and 94% probability.
The 1D trend is strongly bearish, but lower timeframes are choppy—expect possible near-term consolidation.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11129 for a break that would confirm the down move.
Resistance at 1.12696 is the key invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the signal.

The EUR/USD 8H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators: STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, DEMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, and SMA Retreat Down. This confluence across stochastic, Williams %R, and multiple moving-average/trendline retreats points to a coordinated down-move, with the 94% probability and very strong strength reflecting high internal consistency.

Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish: the 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), while the 2H, 4H, and 12H are forming trends (2/5). However, the 15m through 1H and the 8H itself are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating near-term noise. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12696 (the nearest upside barrier) and support at 1.11129 (the nearest downside target). A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, SMA) and trendline retreats (HT, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) align in the same direction.
▼ Stochastic KD Cross Down and Williams %R oversold entry add momentum-based confirmation.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), providing higher-timeframe support.
▼ The proximity of resistance at 1.12696 offers a clear ceiling for the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or consolidation before the move.
▲ The 8H itself is only 1/5 trend strength, so the signal fires in a sideways context—momentum may be lacking.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.12696, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ The Williams %R oversold entry suggests the pair is already stretched to the downside, raising the risk of a bounce.