GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.19 %
Entry
210.523
Target
209.530 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
211.497 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 1 day
  • November 5, 2026GBPBoE MPC Vote Unchanged●●○Previous 6in 2 days
  • November 5, 2026GBPBoE MPC Vote Hike●●○Previous 3in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 80%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.34
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.34
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.21
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.60
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.38
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.09
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.06

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal on 30m with multiple overbought exits and retreats, but weak strength and moderate probability.
  • Lower timeframes are bullish but weak and choppy, while higher timeframes are bearish—mixed alignment.
  • Watch the 209.53000 support; a break below strengthens the bearish case, while resistance at 210.65300 caps upside.
  • Trend scores are low across all timeframes, so expect choppy, sideways price action.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, all pointing to a short-term rejection from overbought conditions. The probability is moderate at 62% with weak strength, suggesting the move is tentative. However, the confluence of multiple oscillator exits and band/level retreats indicates a coordinated pullback from elevated prices, which could lead to a meaningful downside correction if sustained.

Cross-timeframe alignment is mixed. Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) are all bullish but with very weak trend scores (1-2/5) and choppy/sideways characteristics, implying fragile bullish momentum. The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, also choppy, which provides a broader bearish backdrop. This creates a potential conflict: the immediate bullish bias may resist the bearish signal, but the weak trend scores suggest the bullish phase is not robust. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 210.65300 (which was likely the rejection zone) and support at 209.53000. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while holding above it could lead to consolidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple oscillator overbought exits (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and cross-downs (STOCHRSI) reinforce the bearish signal.
  • ▼ BBANDS upper band retreat and HMA retreat down indicate price moving away from upper boundaries.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bearish, providing a broader bearish context.
  • ▼ Resistance at 210.65300 has likely been tested and rejected, as suggested by the signal cluster.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes are bullish, which could counteract the bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ Weak trend scores (1-2/5) across all timeframes suggest low conviction in any direction.
  • ▲ If price holds above the 209.53000 support, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▲ The signal is weak in strength; a lack of follow-through could result in a false breakdown.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 80%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 12:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.65300 2026-10-28
S1 209.53000 2026-10-28
S2 209.11700 2026-10-23

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