NZD/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 01:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %

Entry

0.56201

Target

0.55653 +0.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57104 −1.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 14h
15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 14h
21:45TodayNZDEmployment Change q/q●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.5%in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.04
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 4H with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
Bearish trend is consistent across 30m to 1D, with solid scores on mid and higher timeframes.
Watch the 0.55653 support: a break below would extend the downtrend; a reclaim of 0.57104 resistance would signal a reversal.
The 15m choppy bullish is a minor counter-current, but the overall bias remains bearish.

The NZD/USD 4H signal stack is firmly bearish, with a very strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down confirm a downside shift in cyclical momentum, while the MAMA PRICE Retreat Down and TEMA Retreat Down show price pulling back from recent highs. The VORTEX Cross Up adds a contrarian short-term pulse, but the Inverted Hammer candlestick at the top of the move reinforces rejection of higher prices. Together, these signals point to a high-probability continuation of the bearish trend.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 30m up to 1D, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 1D. The 8H and 12H are still forming (2/5), but they align in direction. The 15M is choppy and slightly bullish, which is a minor counter-current but not enough to override the dominant bearish structure. Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.55653. A break below support would confirm continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (STOCHF, HT PHASOR, MAMA, TEMA) all point to downside momentum.
▼ Inverted Hammer candlestick at a local high suggests rejection of higher prices.
▼ Trend alignment across 30m to 1D with solid trend scores supports continuation.
▼ High probability (86%) and very strong strength signal high confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe is choppy and slightly bullish, which could indicate a short-term bounce.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.57104 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 8H and 12H trends are still forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearishness is not yet fully established.
▲ VORTEX Cross Up suggests a short-term counter-move that could cause a temporary pullback.