USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.18 %
Entry
157.475
Target
158.127 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.649 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 605 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 7h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 8h
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 17%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ T3 Retreat Up indicator 1.99
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.99
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.41
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart with multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Higher timeframes remain bearish, suggesting this could be a counter-trend rally.
  • Key resistance at 158.12700; a break above could open further upside.
  • Key support at 156.64900; a move below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bullish, with a 93% probability and a very strong strength rating, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up and CCI Zero Cross Up indicate improving buying pressure, while the MACD Signal Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm bullish momentum. The BBANDS Middle Cross Up and T3 Retreat Up suggest price is reclaiming the mean and trend is turning upward, and the AO Saucer Bullish adds further confirmation. The signal groups include both indicator and candlestick patterns, reinforcing the bullish case.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, though with weak trend strength (mostly 1/5 or 2/5). This suggests that the bullish signal is a counter-trend move against a larger downtrend, which could limit upside potential. The nearest resistance is at 158.12700, and support is at 156.64900. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of 11 bullish signals including momentum, trend, and volatility indicators.
  • ▲ Bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m and 30m) aligning with the 1H signal.
  • ▲ Price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish bias.
  • ▲ AO Saucer Bullish pattern suggests early stage of bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Trend strength scores are low (1/5 or 2/5), indicating weak conviction in the bullish move.
  • ▼ Resistance at 158.12700 may act as a strong barrier; failure to break could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ Watch for a close below 156.64900 support, which would invalidate the signal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.12700 2026-10-29
R2 158.33600 2026-10-28
R3 158.34400 2026-10-21
S1 156.64900 2026-10-26
S2 156.31100 2026-10-23
S3 156.07500 2026-10-23

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