USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal
Closed after the holding time · result +0.20 %
Entry
157.475
Target
158.127 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.118 −0.23 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 %
34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 %
40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 %
9 % at stop avg −0.35 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), DI CROSS Cross Up, KST Signal Cross Up +23 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 605 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 7h
- TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 8h
- TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 8h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes are bearish.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 157.74700 and support at 157.11800.
- This is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
- High probability (96%) but conflicting higher timeframes increase risk.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend, with additional momentum confirmations from BOP, CMO, and MOM Zero Cross Ups, plus DI and DM Cross Ups. This broad-based signal convergence indicates strong short-term buying pressure, and the 30-minute timeframe shows a forming uptrend. However, the higher timeframes remain bearish, with the 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing trend formation to the downside, creating a conflicting backdrop. The bullish signals are therefore best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and traders should watch whether price can sustain momentum above the nearest resistance at 157.74700.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 157.74700 and support at 157.11800. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup. The 15-minute timeframe is also bullish but choppy, suggesting the move may lack smooth follow-through. Given the strong signal strength (96% probability) but the bearish higher timeframes, this is a high-risk, high-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation, such as a clear close above resistance or a pullback that holds support, before considering entry. The invalidation level is the nearest support at 157.11800, and a break below would signal that the bullish momentum has faded.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 157.74700 and support at 157.11800. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup. The 15-minute timeframe is also bullish but choppy, suggesting the move may lack smooth follow-through. Given the strong signal strength (96% probability) but the bearish higher timeframes, this is a high-risk, high-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation, such as a clear close above resistance or a pullback that holds support, before considering entry. The invalidation level is the nearest support at 157.11800, and a break below would signal that the bullish momentum has faded.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (AROON, BOP, CMO, MOM) all fired bullish crossovers simultaneously.
- ▲ The 30-minute timeframe shows a forming uptrend with strong trend score.
- ▲ Candlestick and Fibonacci patterns add confluence to the bullish signal.
- ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is also bullish, providing short-term alignment.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bearish, suggesting the bounce may be limited.
- ▼ The 15-minute timeframe is choppy, indicating weak momentum.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.11800 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 157.74700 could cap upside and reverse the move.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
89%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-10-30 15:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 157.74700 | 2026-10-30 |
| R2 | 158.12700 | 2026-10-29 |
| R3 | 158.33600 | 2026-10-28 |
| S1 | 157.11800 | 2026-10-30 |
| S2 | 156.64900 | 2026-10-26 |